Backa Topola 1-2 FK Partizan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
41%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.5
No
41%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
36%
-5.1pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.3pp
41%
Away Win
38%
+2.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
62%
-3.4pp
41%
BTTS No
38%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Backa Topola EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Partizan EU Bookmakers 43%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.51/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.40
+32% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
283 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
25.3 Crosses 16.7
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Backa Topola
2W-2D-2L
AWAY FK Partizan
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.36 xG 0.87
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
338 Passes 362
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 4
28.04.2024 FK Partizan FK Partizan 1-2 HT 1-1 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
25.11.2023 FK Partizan FK Partizan 0-4 HT 0-3 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
29.07.2023 Backa Topola Backa Topola 3-3 HT 2-2 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRP
01.05.2023 Backa Topola Backa Topola 1-3 HT 1-1 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRP
06.11.2022 Backa Topola Backa Topola 2-3 HT 1-1 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRP
23.07.2022 FK Partizan FK Partizan 0-0 HT 0-0 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Backa Topola
1-2
AWAY FK Partizan
2.12 xG 2.79
72% Ball Possession 28%
21 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
486 Passes 149
88% Pass Accuracy 68%
38 Box Touches 14
25 Crosses 6
6 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Backa Topola vs FK Partizan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Partizan edged past Backa Topola 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had FK Partizan as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Backa Topola had 72% of the ball to FK Partizan's 28%, shots finished 21-9, expected goals 2.12 to 2.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Backa Topola and 1.67 for FK Partizan.

What was the final score of Backa Topola vs FK Partizan?

Backa Topola 1-2 FK Partizan in the Serbia - Super League on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Backa Topola vs FK Partizan?

Before kick-off our model rated an FK Partizan win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Backa Topola 31%, draw 28%, FK Partizan 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Partizan), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FK Partizan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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