Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs Napredak Krusevac Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac v Napredak Krusevac — Team-Based Signals
Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs Napredak Krusevac Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-0
Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
SIRP
1-2
Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
HAZ
3-0
HT 2-0
Napredak Krusevac
SIRP
1-0
HT 1-0
Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
SIRP
Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 1-0 Napredak Krusevac — Actual Match Statistics
Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac nicked a narrow win over Napredak Krusevac 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac had 66% of the ball to Napredak Krusevac's 34%, shots finished 24-6, expected goals 2.30 to 0.53 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac and 0.83 for Napredak Krusevac.
What was the final score of Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs Napredak Krusevac?
Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 1-0 Napredak Krusevac in the Serbia - Super League on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs Napredak Krusevac?
Before kick-off our model rated a Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 59%, draw 26%, Napredak Krusevac 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.