Napredak Krusevac 1-4 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.71
Draw
33%
3.72
Away
44%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
22%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
18%
+4.9pp
33%
Draw
24%
+9.1pp
44%
Away Win
58%
-14.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.0pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Napredak Krusevac EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac EU Bookmakers 62%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-70% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
239 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 74%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.5 Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Napredak Krusevac
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.38 xG 1.06
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
251 Passes 272
72% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
30.03.2024 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 3-1 HT 2-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
20.10.2023 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 1-3 HT 0-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
22.07.2023 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 1-2 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac HAZ
11.03.2023 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 3-0 HT 2-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
10.09.2022 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 1-0 HT 1-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
27.11.2021 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 1-2 HT 1-1 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napredak Krusevac
1-4
AWAY Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Napredak Krusevac vs Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac swept aside Napredak Krusevac 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Napredak Krusevac had 45% of the ball to Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac's 55%, shots finished 7-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Napredak Krusevac and 2.00 for Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac.

What was the final score of Napredak Krusevac vs Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac?

Napredak Krusevac 1-4 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac in the Serbia - Super League on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Napredak Krusevac vs Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac?

Before kick-off our model rated an Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Napredak Krusevac 23%, draw 33%, Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 44%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac) ✗ Under 2.5
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