Ararat-Armenia 2-1 Celje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 4 Aug 2026

📅04/08/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
42%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.75
Over 2.5
53%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.76
No
42%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.86
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
26%
3.71
6+ Goals
11%
16.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.8pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.7pp
42%
Away Win
38%
+3.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
53%
-6.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
47%
+6.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
53%
+5.1pp
42%
BTTS No
47%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ararat-Armenia EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Celje EU Bookmakers 42%
+48% / +48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/3.00
+45% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +88% / -55%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
290 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ararat-Armenia
2-1
AWAY Celje
14 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ararat-Armenia vs Celje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ararat-Armenia edged past Celje 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Celje at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 14-19.

What was the final score of Ararat-Armenia vs Celje?

Ararat-Armenia 2-1 Celje in the Champions League on 04/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ararat-Armenia vs Celje?

Before kick-off our model rated an Celje win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ararat-Armenia 34%, draw 24%, Celje 42%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Celje) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Celje) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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