FK Rodina Moskva 5-0 Rubin Kazan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 4 Aug 2026

📅04/08/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.99
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.12
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
24%
3.43
6+ Goals
10%
13.6
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.43 — our 24% vs market 22.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+1.9pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.6pp
39%
Away Win
43%
-4.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.0pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Rodina Moskva EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Rubin Kazan EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% / +150%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
292 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Rodina Moskva
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Rubin Kazan
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
17.07.2022 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 2-0 HT 1-0 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Rodina Moskva
5-0
AWAY Rubin Kazan
13 Total Shots 5
11 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FK Rodina Moskva vs Rubin Kazan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Rodina Moskva ran out comfortable winners over Rubin Kazan 5-0. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 30% / 39% — and on the day FK Rodina Moskva made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, shots finished 13-5.

What was the final score of FK Rodina Moskva vs Rubin Kazan?

FK Rodina Moskva 5-0 Rubin Kazan in the Russia - Cup on 04/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Rodina Moskva vs Rubin Kazan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rubin Kazan win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split FK Rodina Moskva 32%, draw 30%, Rubin Kazan 39%. The final score 5-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rubin Kazan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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