Makhachkala 1-2 Krylya Sovetov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 4 Aug 2026

📅04/08/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
22%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.59
Over 2.5
45%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.37
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
4.57
6+ Goals
9%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
42%
+9.0pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.4pp
22%
Away Win
30%
-7.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.5pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Makhachkala EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Krylya Sovetov EU Bookmakers 33%
+42% / +42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.18
-36% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +23%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
258 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Makhachkala
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Krylya Sovetov
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.58 xG 0.63
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
276 Passes 337
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2026 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 2-0 HT 2-0 Makhachkala Makhachkala RUS
01.11.2025 Makhachkala Makhachkala 2-0 HT 1-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
15.03.2025 Makhachkala Makhachkala 4-0 HT 2-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
02.10.2024 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 3-3 HT 3-0 Makhachkala Makhachkala RUK
01.09.2024 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 0-1 HT 0-1 Makhachkala Makhachkala RUS
01.08.2024 Makhachkala Makhachkala 1-0 HT 0-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUK
POST-MATCH Makhachkala vs Krylya Sovetov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Krylya Sovetov squeezed past Makhachkala 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Makhachkala at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Makhachkala had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Makhachkala and 0.83 for Krylya Sovetov.

What was the final score of Makhachkala vs Krylya Sovetov?

Makhachkala 1-2 Krylya Sovetov in the Russia - Cup on 04/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Makhachkala vs Krylya Sovetov?

Before kick-off our model rated a Makhachkala win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Makhachkala 51%, draw 27%, Krylya Sovetov 22%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Makhachkala) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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