Makhachkala 2-0 Krylya Sovetov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 1 Nov 2025

📅01/11/2025 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.09
No
50%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.34
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
20%
5.37
6+ Goals
7%
33.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
2.9
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.55
X/1
24%
4.38
X/2
11%
7.29
X/X
11%
3.8
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
11%
6.29
2/X EV+ ✗
10%
15.6
Value flag · 2/X at 15.6 — our 10% vs market 3.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.8pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.0pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.9pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Makhachkala EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Krylya Sovetov EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +0%
1.56/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.51
-3% / +98% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
315 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 72%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
16.6 Crosses 15.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Makhachkala
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Krylya Sovetov
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
1.77 xG 0.44
42% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
185 Passes 416
67% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 10
10 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.03.2025 Makhachkala Makhachkala 4-0 HT 2-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
02.10.2024 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 3-3 HT 3-0 Makhachkala Makhachkala RUK
01.09.2024 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 0-1 HT 0-1 Makhachkala Makhachkala RUS
01.08.2024 Makhachkala Makhachkala 1-0 HT 0-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Makhachkala
2-0
AWAY Krylya Sovetov
1.79 xG 0.47
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 2
400 Passes 251
78% Pass Accuracy 69%
30 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Makhachkala vs Krylya Sovetov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Makhachkala beat Krylya Sovetov 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Makhachkala as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Makhachkala had 58% of the ball to Krylya Sovetov's 42%, shots finished 13-4, expected goals 1.79 to 0.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Makhachkala had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Makhachkala and 0.75 for Krylya Sovetov.

What was the final score of Makhachkala vs Krylya Sovetov?

Makhachkala 2-0 Krylya Sovetov in the Russia - Premier League on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Makhachkala vs Krylya Sovetov?

Before kick-off our model rated a Makhachkala win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Makhachkala 44%, draw 29%, Krylya Sovetov 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Makhachkala), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Makhachkala) ✓ Under 2.5
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