Makhachkala 4-0 Krylya Sovetov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.46
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
4.97
6+ Goals
8%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.43
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.75
X/1
9%
4.92
X/2
10%
6.18
X/X
14%
3.82
2/1
9%
31.5
2/2
14%
4.86
2/X
6%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-2.3pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.1pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.5pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Makhachkala EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Krylya Sovetov EU Bookmakers 33%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
1.12/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.34
-46% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
315 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 73%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
22.7 Crosses 15.9
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Makhachkala
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Krylya Sovetov
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.99 xG 0.68
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
165 Passes 543
63% Pass Accuracy 84%
13 Box Touches 20
9 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 1
02.10.2024 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 3-3 HT 3-0 Makhachkala Makhachkala RUK
01.09.2024 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 0-1 HT 0-1 Makhachkala Makhachkala RUS
01.08.2024 Makhachkala Makhachkala 1-0 HT 0-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Makhachkala
4-0
AWAY Krylya Sovetov
2.56 xG 0.20
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 3
205 Passes 288
71% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 1
12 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Makhachkala vs Krylya Sovetov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Makhachkala ran out comfortable winners over Krylya Sovetov 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Makhachkala made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Makhachkala had 44% of the ball to Krylya Sovetov's 56%, shots finished 12-3, expected goals 2.56 to 0.20.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Makhachkala had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Makhachkala and 1.00 for Krylya Sovetov.

What was the final score of Makhachkala vs Krylya Sovetov?

Makhachkala 4-0 Krylya Sovetov in the Russia - Premier League on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Makhachkala vs Krylya Sovetov?

Before kick-off our model rated a Makhachkala win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Makhachkala 38%, draw 28%, Krylya Sovetov 33%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Makhachkala), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Makhachkala) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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