Khimki 1-1 FC Akhmat Grozny — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 15 Mar 2025

Khimki
1-1 HT 0-0
FC Akhmat Grozny
📅15/03/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2024/2025

Khimki vs FC Akhmat Grozny Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
45%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.27
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.67
6+ Goals
10%
14.9
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.67 — our 26% vs market 22.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.69
1/2
9%
25.5
1/X
5%
13.5
X/1
8%
6.53
X/2
17%
5.0
X/X
10%
4.62
2/1
7%
32.5
2/2
19%
3.11
2/X EV+ ✗
12%
13.0
Value flag · 2/X at 13.0 — our 12% vs market 4.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
31%
-3.6pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.9pp
45%
Away Win
42%
+2.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-2.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+2.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.1pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Khimki v FC Akhmat Grozny — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Khimki EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny EU Bookmakers 46%
-1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
0.80/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/0.53
-38% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +17%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
263 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 77%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.8
14.3 Crosses 16.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.2

Khimki vs FC Akhmat Grozny Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Khimki
1W-1D-4L
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.96 xG 1.96
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
326 Passes 260
74% Pass Accuracy 71%
22 Box Touches 30
13 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
24.08.2024 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 3-3 HT 0-1 Khimki Khimki RUS
20.05.2023 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 3-0 HT 1-0 Khimki Khimki RUS
14.08.2022 Khimki Khimki 1-3 HT 0-2 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
12.12.2021 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 4-1 HT 2-0 Khimki Khimki RUS
17.10.2021 Khimki Khimki 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
17.04.2021 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 3-1 HT 2-0 Khimki Khimki RUS

Khimki 1-1 FC Akhmat Grozny — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Khimki
1-1
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny
0.98 xG 2.52
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 19
0 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 5
270 Passes 288
70% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 35
9 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Khimki vs FC Akhmat Grozny
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Khimki and FC Akhmat Grozny shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was FC Akhmat Grozny at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Khimki had 49% of the ball to FC Akhmat Grozny's 51%, shots finished 10-19, expected goals 0.98 to 2.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Akhmat Grozny led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Khimki and 2.67 for FC Akhmat Grozny.

What was the final score of Khimki vs FC Akhmat Grozny?

Khimki 1-1 FC Akhmat Grozny in the Russia - Premier League on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Khimki vs FC Akhmat Grozny?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Akhmat Grozny win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Khimki 28%, draw 28%, FC Akhmat Grozny 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Akhmat Grozny), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Akhmat Grozny) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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