FK Orenburg 1-0 Fakel — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Russia - Premier League, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 18:52
Match Result
Home
38%
2.32
Draw
31%
3.12
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
UnderVIEW
60%
1.61
Over
40%
2.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.97
No
52%
1.74
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2.49
2-3
48%
1.8
4-5
16%
4.88
6+
3%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.61
1/2
2%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.1
X/1
15%
5.02
X/2
12%
5.79
X/X
21%
3.94
2/1
2%
32.0
2/2
17%
4.48
2/X
5%
14.35
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME FK Orenburg The Market 43%
Signal
AWAY Fakel The Market 36%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Bad
1.30 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.86
1.32 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.14
Average Attack Strength Bad
Strong Defense Strength Strong
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
292 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 76%
30 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19
27 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Orenburg
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Fakel
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.35 xG 1.12
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
290 Passes 142
73% Pass Accuracy 59%
22 Box Touches 18
26 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
24.08.2024 Fakel Fakel 1-0 HT 0-0 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg RUS
31.03.2024 Fakel Fakel 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg RUS
21.10.2023 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg 1-2 HT 0-1 Fakel Fakel RUS
21.09.2023 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg 0-0 HT 0-0 Fakel Fakel RUK
29.08.2023 Fakel Fakel 0-1 HT 0-0 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg RUK
22.04.2023 Fakel Fakel 1-3 HT 1-2 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Orenburg
1 - 0
AWAY Fakel
1.11 xG 1.22
67% Ball Possession 33%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
293 Passes 107
74% Pass Accuracy 55%
33 Box Touches 13
30 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW FK Orenburg vs Fakel
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

FK Orenburg shaded a tight game against Fakel 1-0. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 31% / 31% — and on the day FK Orenburg made the difference. The goals call finished the job: under 2.5 goals (60%) landed.

On the day, FK Orenburg had 67% of the ball to Fakel's 33%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 1.11 to 1.22.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for FK Orenburg and 0.67 for Fakel.

FK Orenburg vs Fakel Result & Final Score

FK Orenburg 1 - 0 Fakel in the Russia - Premier League on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

FK Orenburg vs Fakel Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Orenburg win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split FK Orenburg 38%, draw 31%, Fakel 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Orenburg), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FK Orenburg) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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