Rostov 0-1 Akron — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 1 Nov 2025

Rostov
0-1 HT 0-0
Akron
📅01/11/2025 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.66
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.5
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
3.51
6+ Goals
9%
13.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.19
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
5%
14.45
X/1
20%
4.21
X/2
8%
9.55
X/X
10%
5.21
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
23.1
2/2
10%
7.66
2/X
8%
16.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.1 — our 8% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
56%
-3.1pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.0pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+4.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.6pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rostov EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Akron EU Bookmakers 23%
-4% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.68/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.46
-12% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +34%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
318 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 72%
29.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
22.6 Crosses 20.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rostov
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Akron
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.67 xG 2.03
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
299 Passes 254
73% Pass Accuracy 70%
30 Box Touches 28
24 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 0
31.03.2025 Akron Akron 2-3 HT 1-1 Rostov Rostov RUS
28.09.2024 Rostov Rostov 0-2 HT 0-2 Akron Akron RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rostov
0-1
AWAY Akron
0.89 xG 1.41
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
247 Passes 251
72% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Rostov vs Akron
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Akron squeezed past Rostov 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Rostov at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Rostov had 50% of the ball to Akron's 50%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 0.89 to 1.41.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Rostov and 2.00 for Akron.

What was the final score of Rostov vs Akron?

Rostov 0-1 Akron in the Russia - Premier League on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rostov vs Akron?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rostov win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Rostov 53%, draw 23%, Akron 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Rostov), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rostov) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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