Zenit St. Petersburg 2-0 Lokomotiv Moscow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 1 Nov 2025

Zenit St. Petersburg
2-0 HT 1-0
Lokomotiv Moscow
📅01/11/2025 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2025/2026

Zenit St. Petersburg vs Lokomotiv Moscow Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.61
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
15%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.0
Over 2.5
61%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.76
No
41%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.83
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.28
6+ Goals
13%
11.25
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.28 — our 26% vs market 25.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
2.05
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.95
X/1
17%
4.14
X/2
5%
10.35
X/X
9%
5.67
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
21.8
2/2
6%
8.22
2/X
5%
16.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.8 — our 9% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
58%
+4.9pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.3pp
15%
Away Win
19%
-3.8pp
39%
Under 2.5
46%
-7.6pp
61%
Over 2.5
54%
+7.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
53%
+6.1pp
41%
BTTS No
47%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Zenit St. Petersburg v Lokomotiv Moscow — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiv Moscow EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +22%
1.91/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.98
+8% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / -8%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
401 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 76%
31.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
22.1 Crosses 14.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.9

Zenit St. Petersburg vs Lokomotiv Moscow Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Lokomotiv Moscow
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.80 xG 0.81
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
458 Passes 236
84% Pass Accuracy 73%
35 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.04.2025 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 1-1 HT 0-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
27.10.2024 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 1-1 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUS
03.12.2023 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 3-1 HT 1-1 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
24.09.2023 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 1-2 HT 1-0 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUS
09.04.2023 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 1-2 HT 1-1 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
30.07.2022 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 5-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUS

Zenit St. Petersburg 2-0 Lokomotiv Moscow — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
2-0
AWAY Lokomotiv Moscow
0.96 xG 0.34
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
304 Passes 315
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
27 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zenit St. Petersburg vs Lokomotiv Moscow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zenit St. Petersburg beat Lokomotiv Moscow 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Zenit St. Petersburg as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zenit St. Petersburg had 49% of the ball to Lokomotiv Moscow's 51%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 0.96 to 0.34.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Zenit St. Petersburg and 1.33 for Lokomotiv Moscow.

What was the final score of Zenit St. Petersburg vs Lokomotiv Moscow?

Zenit St. Petersburg 2-0 Lokomotiv Moscow in the Russia - Premier League on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zenit St. Petersburg vs Lokomotiv Moscow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Zenit St. Petersburg 63%, draw 22%, Lokomotiv Moscow 15%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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