Zenit St. Petersburg 1-1 Lokomotiv Moscow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 27 Oct 2024

Zenit St. Petersburg
1-1 HT 0-0
Lokomotiv Moscow
📅27/10/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2024/2025

Zenit St. Petersburg vs Lokomotiv Moscow Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.4
2-3 Goals
36%
1.89
4-5 Goals
26%
2.94
6+ Goals
13%
8.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.96
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.55
X/1
17%
3.9
X/2
7%
10.95
X/X
14%
6.11
2/1
11%
20.95
2/2
8%
8.0
2/X
6%
16.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
60%
-7.4pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.1pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.5pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Zenit St. Petersburg v Lokomotiv Moscow — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiv Moscow EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +13%
1.87/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.56
+14% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
397 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
30.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
21.4 Crosses 15.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.8

Zenit St. Petersburg vs Lokomotiv Moscow Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Lokomotiv Moscow
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.84 xG 0.91
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
430 Passes 263
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
36 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
03.12.2023 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 3-1 HT 1-1 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
24.09.2023 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 1-2 HT 1-0 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUS
09.04.2023 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 1-2 HT 1-1 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
30.07.2022 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 5-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUS
30.04.2022 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 3-1 HT 2-1 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUS
15.08.2021 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 1-1 HT 0-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS

Zenit St. Petersburg 1-1 Lokomotiv Moscow — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
1-1
AWAY Lokomotiv Moscow
1.81 xG 1.01
66% Ball Possession 34%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
466 Passes 201
85% Pass Accuracy 72%
28 Box Touches 21
29 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Zenit St. Petersburg vs Lokomotiv Moscow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zenit St. Petersburg and Lokomotiv Moscow couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Zenit St. Petersburg at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zenit St. Petersburg had 66% of the ball to Lokomotiv Moscow's 34%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 1.81 to 1.01.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zenit St. Petersburg had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Zenit St. Petersburg and 1.33 for Lokomotiv Moscow.

What was the final score of Zenit St. Petersburg vs Lokomotiv Moscow?

Zenit St. Petersburg 1-1 Lokomotiv Moscow in the Russia - Premier League on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zenit St. Petersburg vs Lokomotiv Moscow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Zenit St. Petersburg 52%, draw 25%, Lokomotiv Moscow 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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