Khimki 3-4 Dinamo Moscow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 27 Oct 2024

Khimki
3-4 HT 2-2
Dinamo Moscow
📅27/10/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2024/2025

Khimki vs Dinamo Moscow Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.32
Draw
32%
3.64
Away
46%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.29
Over 2.5
60%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.78
2-3 Goals
33%
1.92
4-5 Goals
32%
2.82
6+ Goals
11%
7.73
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.4
1/2
7%
21.1
1/X
8%
13.7
X/1
7%
8.13
X/2
12%
4.54
X/X
11%
5.77
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
27%
2.41
2/X EV+ ✗
13%
13.35
Value flag · 2/X at 13.35 — our 13% vs market 4.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
27%
-4.3pp
32%
Draw
24%
+8.0pp
46%
Away Win
49%
-3.6pp
40%
Under 2.5
40%
-0.2pp
60%
Over 2.5
60%
+0.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.0pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Khimki v Dinamo Moscow — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Khimki EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Moscow EU Bookmakers 54%
+17% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +11%
0.99/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/1.04
+6% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -23%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
320 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 78%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.4
14.1 Crosses 14.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.8

Khimki vs Dinamo Moscow Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Khimki
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Dinamo Moscow
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.85 xG 2.04
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 6
240 Passes 394
66% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Box Touches 34
9 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
06.05.2023 Khimki Khimki 0-1 HT 0-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
29.10.2022 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 6-1 HT 3-0 Khimki Khimki RUS
26.02.2022 Khimki Khimki 0-3 HT 0-1 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
22.10.2021 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 4-1 HT 2-0 Khimki Khimki RUS
24.04.2021 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 0-1 HT 0-0 Khimki Khimki RUS
28.09.2020 Khimki Khimki 1-0 HT 1-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS

Khimki 3-4 Dinamo Moscow — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Khimki
3-4
AWAY Dinamo Moscow
1.36 xG 4.04
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 25
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 9
302 Passes 312
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
41 Box Touches 48
19 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Khimki vs Dinamo Moscow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Moscow edged past Khimki 4-3 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dinamo Moscow as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Khimki had 51% of the ball to Dinamo Moscow's 49%, shots finished 14-25, expected goals 1.36 to 4.04 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Dinamo Moscow's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Moscow led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Khimki and 2.33 for Dinamo Moscow.

What was the final score of Khimki vs Dinamo Moscow?

Khimki 3-4 Dinamo Moscow in the Russia - Premier League on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Khimki vs Dinamo Moscow?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dinamo Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Khimki 22%, draw 32%, Dinamo Moscow 46%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Moscow), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Moscow) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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