Pari Nizhny Novgorod 0-2 Spartak Moskova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 27 Oct 2024

Pari Nizhny Novgorod
0-2 HT 0-0
Spartak Moskova
📅27/10/2024 · 🕒14:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✓
Russia - Premier League – 2025/2026

Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Spartak Moskova Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.09
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
56%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.1
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.77
6+ Goals
10%
16.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 27% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
9.43
1/2
10%
24.85
1/X
6%
18.1
X/1
6%
11.15
X/2
20%
3.58
X/X
14%
5.16
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
26%
1.99
2/X
5%
17.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
17%
+2.2pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.6pp
56%
Away Win
60%
-3.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.1pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pari Nizhny Novgorod v Spartak Moskova — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pari Nizhny Novgorod EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Moskova EU Bookmakers 64%
-4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +4%
0.97/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.07/0.87
+44% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -26%
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
228 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 419 · 81%
13.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.4
14.5 Crosses 19.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.9

Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Spartak Moskova Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pari Nizhny Novgorod
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Spartak Moskova
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.43 xG 1.61
32% Ball Possession 68%
8 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 8
150 Passes 510
62% Pass Accuracy 84%
11 Box Touches 38
10 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.05.2024 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 0-0 HT 0-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
22.10.2023 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 2-0 HT 1-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
19.09.2023 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 0-3 HT 0-1 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUK
08.08.2023 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 5-4 HT 3-1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUK
28.05.2023 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 0-0 HT 0-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
02.10.2022 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-2 HT 1-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
POST-MATCH Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Spartak Moskova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Moskova saw off Pari Nizhny Novgorod 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Spartak Moskova as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spartak Moskova led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Pari Nizhny Novgorod and 2.00 for Spartak Moskova.

What was the final score of Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Spartak Moskova?

Pari Nizhny Novgorod 0-2 Spartak Moskova in the Russia - Premier League on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Spartak Moskova?

Before kick-off our model rated an Spartak Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Pari Nizhny Novgorod 19%, draw 25%, Spartak Moskova 56%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartak Moskova), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Spartak Moskova) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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