Ajax (K) 4-1 Kolos Kovalivka (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League - Women's, 4 Sep 2024

📅04/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.11
Draw
23%
8.78
Away
19%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
35%
Over
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
66%
No
34%
Total Goals
0-1
15%
2-3
33%
4-5
32%
6+
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
27%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 66%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
85%
-26.7pp
23%
Draw
8%
+14.4pp
19%
Away Win
6%
+12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajax (K) EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Kolos Kovalivka (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
549 · 89% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajax (K)
4-1
AWAY Kolos Kovalivka (K)
72% Ball Possession 28%
34 Total Shots 6
16 Shots on Target 2
19 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ajax (K) vs Kolos Kovalivka (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajax (K) cruised past Kolos Kovalivka (K) 4-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ajax (K) as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (66%) came in.

On the day, Ajax (K) had 72% of the ball to Kolos Kovalivka (K)'s 28%, shots finished 34-6.

What was the final score of Ajax (K) vs Kolos Kovalivka (K)?

Ajax (K) 4-1 Kolos Kovalivka (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 04/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajax (K) vs Kolos Kovalivka (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ajax (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Ajax (K) 58%, draw 23%, Kolos Kovalivka (K) 19%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ajax (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ajax (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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