Anderlecht (K) 4-1 Crvena Zvezda (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League - Women's, 4 Sep 2024

📅04/09/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
61%
1.28
Draw
19%
5.28
Away
20%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
2.96
Over
58%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1
20%
2-3
42%
4-5
23%
6+
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
26%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Anderlecht (K) win — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
74%
-13.4pp
20%
Draw
16%
+3.3pp
20%
Away Win
10%
+10.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
30%
+11.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
70%
-11.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.8pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Anderlecht (K) EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Crvena Zvezda (K) EU Bookmakers 12%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+27% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
479 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Anderlecht (K) vs Crvena Zvezda (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Anderlecht (K) ran out comfortable winners over Crvena Zvezda (K) 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Anderlecht (K) as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Anderlecht (K) vs Crvena Zvezda (K)?

Anderlecht (K) 4-1 Crvena Zvezda (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 04/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Anderlecht (K) vs Crvena Zvezda (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Anderlecht (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Anderlecht (K) 61%, draw 20%, Crvena Zvezda (K) 20%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Anderlecht (K)), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Anderlecht (K)) ✓ Over 2.5
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