Breznica (K) 1-2 Birkirkara (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League - Women's, 4 Sep 2024

📅04/09/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.46
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
37%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
2.1
Over
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.63
No Pick
53%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
37%
4-5
22%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
3%
2/2
24%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
36%
Home Win
26%
+10.0pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.3pp
37%
Away Win
50%
-12.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
57%
-10.1pp
53%
BTTS No
43%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Breznica (K) The Market 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Birkirkara (K) The Market 54%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
397 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Breznica (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Birkirkara (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 6
06.09.2023 Breznica (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Birkirkara (K) Birkirkara (K) ŞMP-K
POST-MATCH Breznica (K) vs Birkirkara (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Birkirkara (K) nicked a narrow win over Breznica (K) 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) promised a tight game; Birkirkara (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of Breznica (K) vs Birkirkara (K)?

Breznica (K) 1-2 Birkirkara (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 04/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Breznica (K) vs Birkirkara (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Birkirkara (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Breznica (K) 36%, draw 27%, Birkirkara (K) 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Birkirkara (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Birkirkara (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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