Chênois GE (K) 1-0 Pogon Szczecin (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League - Women's, 4 Sep 2024

📅04/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.0
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
2.1
Over
47%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.6
No
53%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
37%
4-5
23%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
40%
Home Win
46%
-6.0pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.3pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.5pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chênois GE (K) The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Pogon Szczecin (K) The Market 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
306 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chênois GE (K)
1-0
AWAY Pogon Szczecin (K)
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chênois GE (K) vs Pogon Szczecin (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chênois GE (K) edged past Pogon Szczecin (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 30%) promised a tight game; Chênois GE (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Chênois GE (K) had 58% of the ball to Pogon Szczecin (K)'s 42%, shots finished 16-8.

What was the final score of Chênois GE (K) vs Pogon Szczecin (K)?

Chênois GE (K) 1-0 Pogon Szczecin (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 04/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chênois GE (K) vs Pogon Szczecin (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chênois GE (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Chênois GE (K) 40%, draw 29%, Pogon Szczecin (K) 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chênois GE (K)), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chênois GE (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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