PAOK (K) 2-1 Maccabi Kiryat Gat (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League - Women's, 4 Sep 2024

📅04/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
2.21
Over
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.5
No Pick
54%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
38%
4-5
23%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-2.0pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.6pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
62%
-16.4pp
54%
BTTS No
38%
+16.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PAOK (K) EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Maccabi Kiryat Gat (K) EU Bookmakers 34%
+41% / +41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+65% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
286 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PAOK (K)
2-1
AWAY Maccabi Kiryat Gat (K)
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 13
10 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH PAOK (K) vs Maccabi Kiryat Gat (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PAOK (K) squeezed past Maccabi Kiryat Gat (K) 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had PAOK (K) as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, PAOK (K) had 60% of the ball to Maccabi Kiryat Gat (K)'s 40%, shots finished 16-13.

What was the final score of PAOK (K) vs Maccabi Kiryat Gat (K)?

PAOK (K) 2-1 Maccabi Kiryat Gat (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 04/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PAOK (K) vs Maccabi Kiryat Gat (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a PAOK (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split PAOK (K) 43%, draw 26%, Maccabi Kiryat Gat (K) 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PAOK (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PAOK (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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