SL Benfica (K) 3-1 Farum BK (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League - Women's, 4 Sep 2024

📅04/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.45
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
27%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.15
Over Pick
57%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.81
No
45%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
41%
4-5
25%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
64%
-14.3pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.4pp
27%
Away Win
16%
+11.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
43%
-0.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
57%
+0.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.9pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SL Benfica (K) EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Farum BK (K) EU Bookmakers 19%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-50% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
398 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 74%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SL Benfica (K)
3-1
AWAY Farum BK (K)
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH SL Benfica (K) vs Farum BK (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SL Benfica (K) got the better of Farum BK (K) 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had SL Benfica (K) as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, SL Benfica (K) had 49% of the ball to Farum BK (K)'s 51%, shots finished 14-11.

What was the final score of SL Benfica (K) vs Farum BK (K)?

SL Benfica (K) 3-1 Farum BK (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 04/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SL Benfica (K) vs Farum BK (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a SL Benfica (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split SL Benfica (K) 50%, draw 23%, Farum BK (K) 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SL Benfica (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (SL Benfica (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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