Sparta Prag (K) 3-1 Linköping (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League - Women's, 4 Sep 2024

📅04/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.25
Draw
37%
3.54
Away
29%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
55%
2.21
Over
45%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
41%
4-5
21%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
23%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
41%
-6.6pp
37%
Draw
25%
+11.6pp
29%
Away Win
34%
-5.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
41%
+13.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
59%
-13.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.3pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Prag (K) EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Linköping (K) EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Prag (K)
3-1
AWAY Linköping (K)
13 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 9
7 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sparta Prag (K) vs Linköping (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Prag (K) beat Linköping (K) 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 37% / 29% — and on the day Sparta Prag (K) made the difference. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, shots finished 13-20.

What was the final score of Sparta Prag (K) vs Linköping (K)?

Sparta Prag (K) 3-1 Linköping (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 04/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Prag (K) vs Linköping (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sparta Prag (K) 34%, draw 37%, Linköping (K) 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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