Vorskla Poltava (K) 5-0 SFK Riga (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League - Women's, 4 Sep 2024

📅04/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.28
Draw
18%
5.28
Away
23%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under
35%
2.98
Over Pick
65%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1
19%
2-3
36%
4-5
30%
6+
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
74%
-14.3pp
18%
Draw
16%
+2.5pp
22%
Away Win
11%
+11.9pp
35%
Under 2.5
30%
+5.4pp
65%
Over 2.5
70%
-5.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.5pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vorskla Poltava (K) EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY SFK Riga (K) EU Bookmakers 14%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+41% / -79% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
418 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vorskla Poltava (K)
5-0
AWAY SFK Riga (K)
67% Ball Possession 33%
29 Total Shots 2
13 Shots on Target 0
14 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Vorskla Poltava (K) vs SFK Riga (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vorskla Poltava (K) ran out comfortable winners over SFK Riga (K) 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Vorskla Poltava (K) as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Vorskla Poltava (K) had 67% of the ball to SFK Riga (K)'s 33%, shots finished 29-2.

What was the final score of Vorskla Poltava (K) vs SFK Riga (K)?

Vorskla Poltava (K) 5-0 SFK Riga (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 04/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vorskla Poltava (K) vs SFK Riga (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vorskla Poltava (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Vorskla Poltava (K) 59%, draw 18%, SFK Riga (K) 22%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vorskla Poltava (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vorskla Poltava (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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