Komorlar 1-1 Gambiya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Afrika Uluslar Cup, 4 Sep 2024

📅04/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.8
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
30%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.45
Over 2.5
35%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.11
2-3 Goals
43%
1.82
4-5 Goals
14%
6.02
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
23%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+5.8pp
32%
Draw
31%
+1.0pp
30%
Away Win
36%
-6.8pp
65%
Under 2.5
65%
-0.5pp
35%
Over 2.5
35%
+0.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.2pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Komorlar EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Gambiya EU Bookmakers 40%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
0.28/0.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.42/0.97
-33% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
313 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 75%
8.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
27.0 Crosses 10.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Komorlar
1-1
AWAY Gambiya
33% Ball Possession 67%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Komorlar vs Gambiya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Komorlar and Gambiya shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 32% / 30% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (65%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Komorlar had 33% of the ball to Gambiya's 67%, shots finished 11-11.

What was the final score of Komorlar vs Gambiya?

Komorlar 1-1 Gambiya in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 04/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Komorlar vs Gambiya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Komorlar win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Komorlar 38%, draw 32%, Gambiya 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Komorlar), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Komorlar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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