Sudan 1-0 Nijer — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Afrika Uluslar Cup, 4 Sep 2024

Sudan
1-0 HT 0-0
Nijer
📅04/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.45
Over 2.5
38%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.27
No
58%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.14
2-3 Goals
48%
1.81
4-5 Goals
16%
5.9
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-4.5pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.0pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
65%
-3.5pp
38%
Over 2.5
35%
+3.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.5pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sudan EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Nijer EU Bookmakers 26%
-47% / -47% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.05/3.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/2.24
-27% / -82% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -41%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sudan
1-0
AWAY Nijer
1.26 xG 0.22
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 6
315 Passes 222
77% Pass Accuracy 71%
16 Box Touches 9
8 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sudan vs Nijer
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sudan nicked a narrow win over Nijer 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sudan as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sudan had 55% of the ball to Nijer's 45%, shots finished 8-7, expected goals 1.26 to 0.22.

What was the final score of Sudan vs Nijer?

Sudan 1-0 Nijer in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 04/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sudan vs Nijer?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sudan win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sudan 43%, draw 32%, Nijer 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sudan), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sudan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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