Libya 1-1 Ruanda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Afrika Uluslar Cup, 4 Sep 2024

Libya
1-1 HT 1-0
Ruanda
📅04/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.9
Draw
35%
2.94
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.36
Over 2.5
39%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.51
No
56%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
1.91
2-3 Goals
51%
1.88
4-5 Goals
13%
7.19
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
49%
-10.0pp
35%
Draw
30%
+4.3pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+5.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
70%
-9.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
30%
+9.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
36%
+8.5pp
56%
BTTS No
64%
-8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Libya EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Ruanda EU Bookmakers 24%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.96/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.20
+37% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +18%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
313 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.6
Crosses 18.7
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Libya
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Ruanda
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 1
13.11.2015 Libya Libya 1-0 HT 0-0 Ruanda Ruanda DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Libya
1-1
AWAY Ruanda
1.10 xG 1.25
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
240 Passes 349
71% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 8
17 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Libya vs Ruanda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Libya and Ruanda shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 35% / 27%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Libya had 44% of the ball to Ruanda's 56%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 1.10 to 1.25.

What was the final score of Libya vs Ruanda?

Libya 1-1 Ruanda in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 04/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Libya vs Ruanda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Libya win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Libya 39%, draw 35%, Ruanda 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Libya), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Libya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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