Ario Eslamshahr 2-1 Mes Soongoun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 4 Sep 2025

📅04/09/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.75
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
8%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.36
Over 2.5
34%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.81
No
66%
1.38
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
1.75
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
12%
7.18
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
3%
X/X
20%
2/1
11%
2/2
3%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
54%
+8.2pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.8pp
8%
Away Win
17%
-9.0pp
66%
Under 2.5
70%
-4.2pp
34%
Over 2.5
30%
+4.2pp
34%
BTTS Yes
32%
+1.9pp
66%
BTTS No
68%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ario Eslamshahr EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Mes Soongoun EU Bookmakers 20%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -5%
1.22/0.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.40
-14% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ario Eslamshahr
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Mes Soongoun
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
28.09.2024 Mes Soongoun Mes Soongoun 3-3 HT 2-1 Ario Eslamshahr Ario Eslamshahr IRANAZ
09.04.2024 Ario Eslamshahr Ario Eslamshahr 0-1 HT 0-0 Mes Soongoun Mes Soongoun IRANAZ
27.10.2023 Mes Soongoun Mes Soongoun 1-1 Ario Eslamshahr Ario Eslamshahr IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Ario Eslamshahr vs Mes Soongoun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ario Eslamshahr nicked a narrow win over Mes Soongoun 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ario Eslamshahr as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (66%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Mes Soongoun led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ario Eslamshahr and 1.67 for Mes Soongoun.

What was the final score of Ario Eslamshahr vs Mes Soongoun?

Ario Eslamshahr 2-1 Mes Soongoun in the Iran - Azadegan League on 04/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ario Eslamshahr vs Mes Soongoun?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ario Eslamshahr win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Ario Eslamshahr 62%, draw 30%, Mes Soongoun 8%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ario Eslamshahr) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ario Eslamshahr) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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