Ario Eslamshahr 0-1 Mes Soongoun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 9 Apr 2024

📅09/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
34%
2.77
Away
28%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.36
Over 2.5
29%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
30%
2.4
No
70%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
47%
1.85
2-3 Goals
34%
1.9
4-5 Goals
14%
7.65
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
23%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+4.5pp
34%
Draw
33%
+0.9pp
28%
Away Win
33%
-5.4pp
71%
Under 2.5
70%
+0.8pp
29%
Over 2.5
30%
-0.8pp
30%
BTTS Yes
38%
-7.2pp
70%
BTTS No
62%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ario Eslamshahr EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Mes Soongoun EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -50% / -50%
0.85/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
-18% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -56%
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
335 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ario Eslamshahr
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Mes Soongoun
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
27.10.2023 Mes Soongoun Mes Soongoun 1-1 Ario Eslamshahr Ario Eslamshahr IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Ario Eslamshahr vs Mes Soongoun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mes Soongoun edged past Ario Eslamshahr 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 34% / 28% — and on the day Mes Soongoun made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (70%) came in.

What was the final score of Ario Eslamshahr vs Mes Soongoun?

Ario Eslamshahr 0-1 Mes Soongoun in the Iran - Azadegan League on 09/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ario Eslamshahr vs Mes Soongoun?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ario Eslamshahr win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ario Eslamshahr 39%, draw 34%, Mes Soongoun 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ario Eslamshahr) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ario Eslamshahr) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
IRANAZ More Iran - Azadegan League
9 Apr 2024
19:00 Pars Jam Bushehr vs SC Damash Gilanian Analysis →
19:00 Esteghlal Mollasani vs Mes Kerman Analysis →
19:00 Kheybar Khorramabad vs Naft Gachsaran Analysis →