Pars Jam Bushehr 3-2 SC Damash Gilanian — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 9 Apr 2024

📅09/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.54
Over 2.5
44%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-6.0pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.1pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+2.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
61%
-5.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
39%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pars Jam Bushehr EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY SC Damash Gilanian EU Bookmakers 24%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
1.37/0.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/2.18
-3% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -47%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
356 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pars Jam Bushehr
0W-1D-0L
AWAY SC Damash Gilanian
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
27.10.2023 SC Damash Gilanian SC Damash Gilanian 1-1 HT 1-0 Pars Jam Bushehr Pars Jam Bushehr IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Pars Jam Bushehr vs SC Damash Gilanian
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pars Jam Bushehr squeezed past SC Damash Gilanian 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Pars Jam Bushehr as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Pars Jam Bushehr vs SC Damash Gilanian?

Pars Jam Bushehr 3-2 SC Damash Gilanian in the Iran - Azadegan League on 09/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pars Jam Bushehr vs SC Damash Gilanian?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pars Jam Bushehr win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Pars Jam Bushehr 47%, draw 29%, SC Damash Gilanian 24%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pars Jam Bushehr) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pars Jam Bushehr) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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