Kheybar Khorramabad 2-1 Naft Gachsaran — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 9 Apr 2024

📅09/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.51
Over 2.5
42%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
No
59%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
52%
-2.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.5pp
23%
Away Win
22%
+0.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kheybar Khorramabad EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Naft Gachsaran EU Bookmakers 25%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.90/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.00
+45% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +18%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
321 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 192 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kheybar Khorramabad
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Naft Gachsaran
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
27.10.2023 Naft Gachsaran 1-0 HT 1-0 Kheybar Khorramabad Kheybar Khorramabad IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Kheybar Khorramabad vs Naft Gachsaran
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kheybar Khorramabad squeezed past Naft Gachsaran 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kheybar Khorramabad as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Kheybar Khorramabad vs Naft Gachsaran?

Kheybar Khorramabad 2-1 Naft Gachsaran in the Iran - Azadegan League on 09/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kheybar Khorramabad vs Naft Gachsaran?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kheybar Khorramabad win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Kheybar Khorramabad 49%, draw 28%, Naft Gachsaran 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kheybar Khorramabad) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kheybar Khorramabad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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