Deportes Quindio 2-2 Atletico Nacional — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Cup, 4 Sep 2025

📅04/09/2025 · 🕒03:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.46
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
42%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.76
No
41%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
26%
-0.8pp
33%
Draw
26%
+7.6pp
42%
Away Win
49%
-6.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.8pp
59%
BTTS Yes
53%
+5.8pp
41%
BTTS No
47%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportes Quindio EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Nacional EU Bookmakers 53%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
0.66/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.16/0.65
-38% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +143% / +39%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
261 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportes Quindio
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Atletico Nacional
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.99 xG 1.04
33% Ball Possession 67%
16 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
154 Passes 429
66% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 11
29 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.08.2025 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 4-0 HT 2-0 Deportes Quindio Deportes Quindio KOLK
22.08.2021 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 1-0 HT 1-0 Deportes Quindio Deportes Quindio KOL
POST-MATCH Deportes Quindio vs Atletico Nacional
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportes Quindio and Atletico Nacional shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico Nacional at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (59%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Atletico Nacional led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Deportes Quindio and 2.50 for Atletico Nacional.

What was the final score of Deportes Quindio vs Atletico Nacional?

Deportes Quindio 2-2 Atletico Nacional in the Colombia - Cup on 04/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportes Quindio vs Atletico Nacional?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Deportes Quindio 25%, draw 33%, Atletico Nacional 42%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Atletico Nacional), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Nacional) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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