Eilenburg 0-1 Meuselwitz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 4 Oct 2024

📅04/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.21
Over 2.5
49%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.5
No
51%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.3pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.9pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-1.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
62%
-13.6pp
51%
BTTS No
38%
+13.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eilenburg EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Meuselwitz EU Bookmakers 42%
-8% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +9%
1.24/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/1.16
-16% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eilenburg
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Meuselwitz
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 2
03.05.2024 Eilenburg Eilenburg 0-2 HT 0-1 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz ALMBÖL
24.11.2023 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz 0-1 HT 0-1 Eilenburg Eilenburg ALMBÖL
14.04.2022 Eilenburg Eilenburg 0-2 HT 0-1 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz ALMBÖL
24.10.2021 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz 1-1 HT 1-1 Eilenburg Eilenburg ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Eilenburg vs Meuselwitz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Meuselwitz squeezed past Eilenburg 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 37% — and on the day Meuselwitz made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Meuselwitz led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Eilenburg and 1.25 for Meuselwitz.

What was the final score of Eilenburg vs Meuselwitz?

Eilenburg 0-1 Meuselwitz in the Germany - Regional League on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eilenburg vs Meuselwitz?

Before kick-off our model rated an Meuselwitz win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Eilenburg 36%, draw 28%, Meuselwitz 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Meuselwitz), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Meuselwitz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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