Freiburg II 1-0 Lehnerz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 4 Oct 2024

📅04/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.18
Over 2.5
55%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.3pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.0pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.5pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Freiburg II EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Lehnerz EU Bookmakers 27%
+9% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
2.15/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/2.12
+9% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -20%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
380 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
POST-MATCH Freiburg II vs Lehnerz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Freiburg II nicked a narrow win over Lehnerz 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Freiburg II as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Freiburg II vs Lehnerz?

Freiburg II 1-0 Lehnerz in the Germany - Regional League on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Freiburg II vs Lehnerz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Freiburg II win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Freiburg II 48%, draw 23%, Lehnerz 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Freiburg II) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Freiburg II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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