Hertha Berlin II 3-0 FSV Zwickau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 4 Oct 2024

📅04/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.33
Over 2.5
56%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.49
No
41%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.0pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.4pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
39%
+5.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
61%
-5.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
63%
-3.8pp
41%
BTTS No
37%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hertha Berlin II EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY FSV Zwickau EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.77/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/2.06
+5% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -23%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
351 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 64%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hertha Berlin II
1W-0D-2L
AWAY FSV Zwickau
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
02.02.2024 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau 4-1 HT 1-0 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II ALMBÖL
15.08.2023 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II 4-3 HT 2-1 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau ALMBÖL
26.04.2015 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau 3-2 HT 2-0 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Hertha Berlin II vs FSV Zwickau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hertha Berlin II ran out comfortable winners over FSV Zwickau 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hertha Berlin II as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, FSV Zwickau led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Hertha Berlin II and 3.33 for FSV Zwickau.

What was the final score of Hertha Berlin II vs FSV Zwickau?

Hertha Berlin II 3-0 FSV Zwickau in the Germany - Regional League on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hertha Berlin II vs FSV Zwickau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hertha Berlin II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Hertha Berlin II 43%, draw 26%, FSV Zwickau 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hertha Berlin II), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hertha Berlin II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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