04/10/2024
·
19:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
2-1
Voitsberg vs Lafnitz Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
Value flag · 1/X at 13.05
— our 10% vs market 4.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
48%
27%
Draw
24%
36%
Away Win
28%
50%
Under 2.5
39%
50%
Over 2.5
61%
52%
BTTS Yes
62%
48%
BTTS No
38%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Voitsberg v Lafnitz — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Voitsberg
EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY
Lafnitz
EU Bookmakers 32%
-63% /
-63%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+2% /
-4%
0.50/2.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.40/1.59
-70%
/
-37%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+5%
/
-5%
51%
Ball Possession
49%
11
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
6
4
Corners
4
253 · 71%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
327 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
2.1
Voitsberg vs Lafnitz Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Voitsberg
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Lafnitz
4.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
The Meetings
19.07.2024
Voitsberg
4-1
HT 2-0
Lafnitz
HAZ
4-1
HT 2-0
Lafnitz
HAZ
POST-MATCH
Voitsberg vs Lafnitz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Voitsberg squeezed past Lafnitz 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Voitsberg made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
What was the final score of Voitsberg vs Lafnitz?
Voitsberg 2-1 Lafnitz in the Austria - 1st Division on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Voitsberg vs Lafnitz?
Before kick-off our model rated a Voitsberg win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Voitsberg 37%, draw 27%, Lafnitz 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Voitsberg), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Voitsberg)
✓ BTTS Yes
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AU2
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4 Oct 2024