Voitsberg 2-1 Lafnitz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 4 Oct 2024

📅04/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
36%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.33
Over 2.5
50%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.5
No
48%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.84
2-3 Goals
44%
1.93
4-5 Goals
21%
2.8
6+ Goals
10%
7.59
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.62
1/2
5%
31.0
1/X EV+ ✗
10%
13.05
X/1
12%
4.79
X/2
12%
7.37
X/X
10%
5.71
2/1
5%
21.45
2/2
19%
4.76
2/X
7%
13.3
Value flag · 1/X at 13.05 — our 10% vs market 4.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
48%
-11.1pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.5pp
36%
Away Win
28%
+7.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
39%
+10.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
61%
-10.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
62%
-10.3pp
48%
BTTS No
38%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Voitsberg EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Lafnitz EU Bookmakers 32%
-63% / -63% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -4%
0.50/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.59
-70% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
253 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Voitsberg
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Lafnitz
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
19.07.2024 Voitsberg Voitsberg 4-1 HT 2-0 Lafnitz Lafnitz HAZ
POST-MATCH Voitsberg vs Lafnitz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Voitsberg squeezed past Lafnitz 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Voitsberg made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Voitsberg vs Lafnitz?

Voitsberg 2-1 Lafnitz in the Austria - 1st Division on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Voitsberg vs Lafnitz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Voitsberg win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Voitsberg 37%, draw 27%, Lafnitz 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Voitsberg), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Voitsberg) ✓ BTTS Yes
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