Bregenz 3-1 SV Horn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 4 Oct 2024

📅04/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.76
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
31%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.13
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
20%
3.05
6+ Goals
14%
9.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.32
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.85
X/1
13%
4.27
X/2
13%
8.62
X/X
14%
5.47
2/1
8%
21.85
2/2
12%
6.14
2/X
7%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
52%
-11.5pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.3pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+7.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.8pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bregenz EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY SV Horn EU Bookmakers 27%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -7%
2.37/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.80
+28% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
330 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.5
Crosses 20.8
Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bregenz
1W-0D-1L
AWAY SV Horn
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 7
6 Corners 5
04.05.2024 SV Horn SV Horn 1-0 HT 0-0 Bregenz Bregenz AU2
21.10.2023 Bregenz Bregenz 3-1 HT 2-0 SV Horn SV Horn AU2
POST-MATCH Bregenz vs SV Horn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bregenz saw off SV Horn 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bregenz as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Bregenz and 1.00 for SV Horn.

What was the final score of Bregenz vs SV Horn?

Bregenz 3-1 SV Horn in the Austria - 1st Division on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bregenz vs SV Horn?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bregenz win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Bregenz 41%, draw 28%, SV Horn 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bregenz), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bregenz) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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