Criciuma 2-0 Atletico Goianiense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 4 Oct 2024

Criciuma
2-0 HT 1-0
Atletico Goianiense
📅04/10/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2024

Criciuma vs Atletico Goianiense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.82
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.94
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
3.96
6+ Goals
8%
18.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.94 — our 32% vs market 28.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.5
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.3
X/1
19%
4.11
X/2
7%
8.09
X/X
15%
4.49
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
14%
6.45
2/X
8%
14.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
50%
-6.7pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.4pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+4.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.4pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Criciuma v Atletico Goianiense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Criciuma EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Goianiense EU Bookmakers 27%
-13% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -1%
1.17/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.24
+5% / -60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +40%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
331 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 78%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
21.1 Crosses 17.6
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.5

Criciuma vs Atletico Goianiense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Criciuma
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Atletico Goianiense
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.41 xG 1.12
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
300 Passes 279
74% Pass Accuracy 72%
19 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
20.06.2024 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 1-2 HT 1-0 Criciuma Criciuma BR1
23.09.2023 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 3-1 HT 0-0 Criciuma Criciuma BR2
03.06.2023 Criciuma Criciuma 3-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR2
21.09.2019 Criciuma Criciuma 0-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR2
18.05.2019 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 3-1 HT 1-0 Criciuma Criciuma BR2
11.08.2018 Criciuma Criciuma 1-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR2

Criciuma 2-0 Atletico Goianiense — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Criciuma
2-0
AWAY Atletico Goianiense
1.35 xG 0.40
47% Ball Possession 53%
17 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 6
301 Passes 356
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Criciuma vs Atletico Goianiense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Criciuma got the better of Atletico Goianiense 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Criciuma as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Criciuma had 47% of the ball to Atletico Goianiense's 53%, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 1.35 to 0.40.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Goianiense led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Criciuma and 1.50 for Atletico Goianiense.

What was the final score of Criciuma vs Atletico Goianiense?

Criciuma 2-0 Atletico Goianiense in the Brazil - Serie A on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Criciuma vs Atletico Goianiense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Criciuma win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Criciuma 44%, draw 28%, Atletico Goianiense 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Criciuma), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Criciuma) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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