Fluminense vs Cruzeiro Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fluminense v Cruzeiro — Team-Based Signals
Fluminense vs Cruzeiro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Cruzeiro
BR1
0-2
HT 0-1
Fluminense
BR1
0-3
HT 0-0
Fluminense
BRK
2-1
HT 1-1
Cruzeiro
BRK
0-0
HT 0-0
Fluminense
BR1
Fluminense 1-0 Cruzeiro — Actual Match Statistics
Fluminense squeezed past Cruzeiro 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 32%) promised a tight game; Fluminense found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Fluminense had 47% of the ball to Cruzeiro's 53%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.62 to 1.42.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fluminense had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Fluminense and 0.50 for Cruzeiro.
What was the final score of Fluminense vs Cruzeiro?
Fluminense 1-0 Cruzeiro in the Brazil - Serie A on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fluminense vs Cruzeiro?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fluminense win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Fluminense 38%, draw 30%, Cruzeiro 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fluminense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.