Odense 0-3 HB Koge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 4 Oct 2024

📅04/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.16
Draw
20%
7.13
Away
16%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
3.59
Over 2.5
62%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.96
No
46%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
8.79
2-3 Goals
39%
2.4
4-5 Goals
30%
2.36
6+ Goals
12%
3.87
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1.21
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
34.5
X/1
21%
3.63
X/2
5%
34.5
X/X
7%
14.05
2/1
7%
22.3
2/2
6%
28.5
2/X
6%
33.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
82%
-17.6pp
20%
Draw
11%
+8.5pp
16%
Away Win
7%
+9.2pp
38%
Under 2.5
24%
+13.4pp
62%
Over 2.5
76%
-13.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
47%
+7.4pp
46%
BTTS No
53%
-7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Odense EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY HB Koge EU Bookmakers 9%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +12%
2.35/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.84
+15% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +15%
58% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
444 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
39.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.9
20.3 Crosses 8.0
0.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Odense
4W-1D-1L
AWAY HB Koge
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
26.07.2024 HB Koge HB Koge 0-4 HT 0-2 Odense Odense DAN1
23.05.2012 HB Koge HB Koge 1-1 HT 0-1 Odense Odense DAN
25.03.2012 Odense Odense 2-4 HT 0-1 HB Koge HB Koge DAN
02.10.2011 Odense Odense 2-1 HT 2-1 HB Koge HB Koge DAN
18.04.2010 HB Koge HB Koge 1-2 HT 0-1 Odense Odense DAN
08.04.2010 HB Koge HB Koge 1-3 HT 0-1 Odense Odense DAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Odense
0-3
AWAY HB Koge
1.33 xG 0.85
72% Ball Possession 28%
15 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 1
572 Passes 158
86% Pass Accuracy 58%
31 Box Touches 11
36 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Odense vs HB Koge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HB Koge cruised past Odense 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

This one beat our numbers. Odense carried 64% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Odense had 72% of the ball to HB Koge's 28%, shots finished 15-5, expected goals 1.33 to 0.85 — on chances, Odense could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Odense had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Odense and 1.33 for HB Koge.

What was the final score of Odense vs HB Koge?

Odense 0-3 HB Koge in the Denmark 1st Division on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Odense vs HB Koge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Odense win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Odense 64%, draw 20%, HB Koge 16%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Odense), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Odense) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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