Hillerod 2-2 Vendsyssel FF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 4 Oct 2024

Hillerod
2-2 HT 2-1
Vendsyssel FF
📅04/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
Denmark 1st Division – 2024/2025

Hillerod vs Vendsyssel FF Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.57
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.38
Over 2.5
58%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.07
2-3 Goals
39%
1.96
4-5 Goals
27%
2.74
6+ Goals
11%
7.13
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.97
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.05
X/1
20%
4.06
X/2
4%
10.7
X/X
9%
6.42
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
20.05
2/2
14%
7.41
2/X
5%
15.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.05 — our 7% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
60%
-2.5pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.2pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+3.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.8pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hillerod v Vendsyssel FF — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hillerod EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Vendsyssel FF EU Bookmakers 22%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +8%
1.70/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.63
+2% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
371 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 75%
29.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
21.7 Crosses 19.8
0.7 Yellow Cards 1.7

Hillerod vs Vendsyssel FF Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hillerod
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Vendsyssel FF
2.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
1.16 xG 1.56
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
310 Passes 301
74% Pass Accuracy 72%
21 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
14.09.2024 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF 0-3 HT 0-2 Hillerod Hillerod DAN1
23.02.2024 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF 4-4 HT 1-2 Hillerod Hillerod DAN1
19.08.2023 Hillerod Hillerod 2-0 HT 1-0 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF DAN1
08.10.2022 Hillerod Hillerod 2-0 HT 1-0 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF DAN1
22.07.2022 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF 5-1 HT 2-0 Hillerod Hillerod DAN1

Hillerod 2-2 Vendsyssel FF — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hillerod
2-2
AWAY Vendsyssel FF
2.03 xG 0.94
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
380 Passes 300
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
27 Box Touches 14
11 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hillerod vs Vendsyssel FF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hillerod and Vendsyssel FF couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Hillerod carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Hillerod had 55% of the ball to Vendsyssel FF's 45%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 2.03 to 0.94.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Hillerod had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.40 goals for Hillerod and 1.80 for Vendsyssel FF.

What was the final score of Hillerod vs Vendsyssel FF?

Hillerod 2-2 Vendsyssel FF in the Denmark 1st Division on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hillerod vs Vendsyssel FF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hillerod win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Hillerod 57%, draw 20%, Vendsyssel FF 23%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hillerod) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hillerod) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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