Stade Marocain 3-2 Olympique Dcheira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - Botola 2, 4 Oct 2024

📅04/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.04
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.51
Over
40%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2-3
40%
4-5
19%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
46%
+3.2pp
24%
Draw
29%
-5.6pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.3pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Marocain EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Olympique Dcheira EU Bookmakers 29%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
2.18/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.08
+76% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +90% / +9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
284 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stade Marocain
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Olympique Dcheira
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
11.11.2023 Olympique Dcheira 0-0 HT 0-0 Stade Marocain FAS2
20.05.2023 Olympique Dcheira 2-0 HT 0-0 Stade Marocain FAS2
POST-MATCH Stade Marocain vs Olympique Dcheira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Marocain edged past Olympique Dcheira 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Stade Marocain as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Olympique Dcheira led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Stade Marocain and 1.00 for Olympique Dcheira.

What was the final score of Stade Marocain vs Olympique Dcheira?

Stade Marocain 3-2 Olympique Dcheira in the Morocco - Botola 2 on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Marocain vs Olympique Dcheira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stade Marocain win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Stade Marocain 49%, draw 24%, Olympique Dcheira 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stade Marocain) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stade Marocain) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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