Wydad Fes 3-1 Chabab Atlas Khenifra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - Botola 2, 4 Oct 2024

📅04/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
27%
2.83
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
62%
1.38
Over
38%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.29
No
60%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1
38%
2-3
34%
4-5
20%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
-0.5pp
27%
Draw
32%
-4.7pp
35%
Away Win
29%
+5.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
69%
-7.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
31%
+7.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.1pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wydad Fes EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Chabab Atlas Khenifra EU Bookmakers 33%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.12/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/0.80
-7% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +50%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
326 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wydad Fes
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Chabab Atlas Khenifra
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
03.12.2023 Chabab Atlas Khenifra 0-0 HT 0-0 Wydad Fes Wydad Fes FAS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wydad Fes
3-1
AWAY Chabab Atlas Khenifra
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Wydad Fes vs Chabab Atlas Khenifra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wydad Fes saw off Chabab Atlas Khenifra 3-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Wydad Fes found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Wydad Fes had 47% of the ball to Chabab Atlas Khenifra's 53%, shots finished 7-8.

What was the final score of Wydad Fes vs Chabab Atlas Khenifra?

Wydad Fes 3-1 Chabab Atlas Khenifra in the Morocco - Botola 2 on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wydad Fes vs Chabab Atlas Khenifra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wydad Fes win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Wydad Fes 39%, draw 27%, Chabab Atlas Khenifra 35%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wydad Fes) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wydad Fes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FAS2 More Morocco - Botola 2
4 Oct 2024
18:00 USM Oujda vs KAC Kenitra Analysis →
18:00 Stade Marocain vs Olympique Dcheira Analysis →