Grobina vs Valmiera / BSS Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Grobina v Valmiera / BSS — Team-Based Signals
Grobina vs Valmiera / BSS Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-0
Valmiera / BSS
LET
Grobina 1-4 Valmiera / BSS — Actual Match Statistics
Valmiera / BSS ran out comfortable winners over Grobina 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Valmiera / BSS as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Grobina had 33% of the ball to Valmiera / BSS's 67%, shots finished 8-18, expected goals 0.69 to 3.27.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Valmiera / BSS led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Grobina and 1.00 for Valmiera / BSS.
What was the final score of Grobina vs Valmiera / BSS?
Grobina 1-4 Valmiera / BSS in the Latvia - Virsliga on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Grobina vs Valmiera / BSS?
Before kick-off our model rated an Valmiera / BSS win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Grobina 21%, draw 20%, Valmiera / BSS 59%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valmiera / BSS), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.