Valmiera / BSS 0-0 Grobina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 21 Jul 2024

Valmiera / BSS
0-0 HT 0-0
Grobina
📅21/07/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Latvia - Virsliga – 2024

Valmiera / BSS vs Grobina Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.18
Draw
18%
6.26
Away
19%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
3.14
Over 2.5
57%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
79%
-15.8pp
18%
Draw
12%
+5.3pp
19%
Away Win
8%
+10.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
28%
+14.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
72%
-14.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.4pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Valmiera / BSS v Grobina — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valmiera / BSS EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Grobina EU Bookmakers 11%
-12% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
2.24/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.41/2.36
+0% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +10%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
444 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 71%
34.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.4
29.0 Crosses 11.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6

Valmiera / BSS vs Grobina Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valmiera / BSS
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Grobina
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.18 xG 0.40
62% Ball Possession 38%
27 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 4
412 Passes 128
80% Pass Accuracy 55%
50 Box Touches 11
42 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
20.05.2024 Grobina Grobina 0-2 HT 0-0 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS LET
09.04.2024 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS 1-1 HT 0-1 Grobina Grobina LET

Valmiera / BSS 0-0 Grobina — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valmiera / BSS
0-0
AWAY Grobina
1.36 xG 0.17
73% Ball Possession 27%
25 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 2
463 Passes 118
82% Pass Accuracy 54%
41 Box Touches 8
36 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Valmiera / BSS vs Grobina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valmiera / BSS and Grobina fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Valmiera / BSS at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Valmiera / BSS had 73% of the ball to Grobina's 27%, shots finished 25-3, expected goals 1.36 to 0.17.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Valmiera / BSS had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Valmiera / BSS and 0.50 for Grobina.

What was the final score of Valmiera / BSS vs Grobina?

Valmiera / BSS 0-0 Grobina in the Latvia - Virsliga on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valmiera / BSS vs Grobina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valmiera / BSS win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Valmiera / BSS 64%, draw 18%, Grobina 19%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Valmiera / BSS), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Valmiera / BSS) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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