Auda 2-0 Liepaja — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 21 Jul 2024

Auda
2-0 HT 1-0
Liepaja
📅21/07/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
30%
3.8
Away
19%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
60%
-8.3pp
30%
Draw
23%
+7.0pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.9pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Auda EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Liepaja EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +8%
1.56/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/2.49
-13% / +80% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +23%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
372 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
31.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 4.8
21.8 Crosses 10.3
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Auda
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Liepaja
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.28 xG 1.11
66% Ball Possession 34%
17 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
479 Passes 194
85% Pass Accuracy 65%
29 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.05.2024 Auda Auda 1-1 HT 1-1 Liepaja Liepaja LET
09.04.2024 Liepaja Liepaja 1-0 HT 1-0 Auda Auda LET
21.10.2023 Liepaja Liepaja 1-1 HT 0-0 Auda Auda LET
30.07.2023 Auda Auda 1-1 HT 1-0 Liepaja Liepaja LET
07.05.2023 Auda Auda 0-4 HT 0-0 Liepaja Liepaja LET
14.04.2023 Liepaja Liepaja 1-1 HT 1-0 Auda Auda LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Auda
2-0
AWAY Liepaja
1.90 xG 0.86
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 5
400 Passes 304
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Auda vs Liepaja
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Auda got the better of Liepaja 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Auda as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Auda had 55% of the ball to Liepaja's 45%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 1.90 to 0.86.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liepaja led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Auda and 1.50 for Liepaja.

What was the final score of Auda vs Liepaja?

Auda 2-0 Liepaja in the Latvia - Virsliga on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Auda vs Liepaja?

Before kick-off our model rated a Auda win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Auda 51%, draw 30%, Liepaja 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Auda), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Auda) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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