Auda 1-1 Liepaja — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 19 May 2024

Auda
1-1 HT 1-1
Liepaja
📅19/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Latvia - Virsliga – 2024

Auda vs Liepaja Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
22%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.29
No
49%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
67%
-13.0pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.8pp
23%
Away Win
12%
+10.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
40%
+11.8pp
49%
BTTS No
60%
-11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Auda v Liepaja — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Auda EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Liepaja EU Bookmakers 15%
+6% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.57/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/2.58
+0% / +103% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +3%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
325 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 68%
30.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.8
18.0 Crosses 11.3
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4

Auda vs Liepaja Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Auda
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Liepaja
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.22 xG 1.19
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
469 Passes 204
84% Pass Accuracy 66%
28 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.04.2024 Liepaja Liepaja 1-0 HT 1-0 Auda Auda LET
21.10.2023 Liepaja Liepaja 1-1 HT 0-0 Auda Auda LET
30.07.2023 Auda Auda 1-1 HT 1-0 Liepaja Liepaja LET
07.05.2023 Auda Auda 0-4 HT 0-0 Liepaja Liepaja LET
14.04.2023 Liepaja Liepaja 1-1 HT 1-0 Auda Auda LET
23.10.2022 Auda Auda 1-2 HT 0-1 Liepaja Liepaja LET

Auda 1-1 Liepaja — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Auda
1-1
AWAY Liepaja
1.53 xG 0.72
72% Ball Possession 28%
16 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 3
529 Passes 143
86% Pass Accuracy 62%
31 Box Touches 16
25 Crosses 13
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Auda vs Liepaja
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Auda and Liepaja couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Auda at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Auda had 72% of the ball to Liepaja's 28%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.53 to 0.72.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liepaja led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Auda and 1.67 for Liepaja.

What was the final score of Auda vs Liepaja?

Auda 1-1 Liepaja in the Latvia - Virsliga on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Auda vs Liepaja?

Before kick-off our model rated a Auda win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Auda 54%, draw 24%, Liepaja 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Auda) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Auda) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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