FA Siauliai 1-3 Zalgiris Vilnius — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 4 Oct 2024

📅04/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.65
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
57%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
5%
2/1
4%
2/2
31%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
19%
+3.1pp
21%
Draw
22%
-1.7pp
57%
Away Win
59%
-1.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.0pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FA Siauliai EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Zalgiris Vilnius EU Bookmakers 62%
+35% / +35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -17%
1.83/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/0.65
+81% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / +5%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
293 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FA Siauliai
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Zalgiris Vilnius
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.05.2024 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 1-2 HT 1-1 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
07.04.2024 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 3-0 HT 1-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LIT1
22.10.2023 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 2-2 HT 1-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LIT1
06.08.2023 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 0-0 HT 0-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
04.06.2023 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 2-2 HT 1-2 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LIT1
04.04.2023 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 1-0 HT 1-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FA Siauliai
1-3
AWAY Zalgiris Vilnius
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 24
3 Shots on Target 10
8 Corners 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FA Siauliai vs Zalgiris Vilnius
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zalgiris Vilnius saw off FA Siauliai 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Zalgiris Vilnius as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, FA Siauliai had 38% of the ball to Zalgiris Vilnius's 62%, shots finished 9-24.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zalgiris Vilnius led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FA Siauliai and 1.50 for Zalgiris Vilnius.

What was the final score of FA Siauliai vs Zalgiris Vilnius?

FA Siauliai 1-3 Zalgiris Vilnius in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FA Siauliai vs Zalgiris Vilnius?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zalgiris Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split FA Siauliai 22%, draw 21%, Zalgiris Vilnius 57%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius) ✓ Over 2.5
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