Shandong Taishan 1-1 Yunnan Yukun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 4 Oct 2025

Shandong Taishan
1-1 HT 0-1
Yunnan Yukun
📅04/10/2025 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League – 2025

Shandong Taishan vs Yunnan Yukun Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
78%
1.28
Draw
14%
5.71
Away
8%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
28%
3.94
Over 2.5
72%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.55
No
42%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
9.16
2-3 Goals
35%
2.47
4-5 Goals
33%
2.25
6+ Goals
19%
3.32
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
46%
1.4
1/2
2%
35.0
1/X
3%
19.8
X/1
23%
4.28
X/2
3%
20.6
X/X
6%
11.05
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
16.85
2/2
3%
14.9
2/X
5%
23.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 16.85 — our 9% vs market 3.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
79%
Home Win
74%
+4.5pp
14%
Draw
15%
-0.8pp
8%
Away Win
11%
-3.7pp
28%
Under 2.5
22%
+6.0pp
72%
Over 2.5
78%
-6.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.7pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Shandong Taishan v Yunnan Yukun — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shandong Taishan EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Yunnan Yukun EU Bookmakers 14%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
2.08/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/3.28
+3% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / -5%
61% Ball Possession 39%
21 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
478 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 77%
35.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
24.8 Crosses 17.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8

Shandong Taishan vs Yunnan Yukun Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shandong Taishan
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Yunnan Yukun
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.27 xG 1.91
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
264 Passes 171
75% Pass Accuracy 68%
18 Box Touches 22
24 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
05.05.2025 Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun 3-2 HT 0-2 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİNSL

Shandong Taishan 1-1 Yunnan Yukun — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shandong Taishan
1-1
AWAY Yunnan Yukun
1.76 xG 2.33
70% Ball Possession 30%
17 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 5
469 Passes 140
84% Pass Accuracy 60%
42 Box Touches 18
36 Crosses 16
POST-MATCH Shandong Taishan vs Yunnan Yukun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shandong Taishan and Yunnan Yukun couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Shandong Taishan carried 79% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (72%) missed.

On the day, Shandong Taishan had 70% of the ball to Yunnan Yukun's 30%, shots finished 17-16, expected goals 1.76 to 2.33.

What was the final score of Shandong Taishan vs Yunnan Yukun?

Shandong Taishan 1-1 Yunnan Yukun in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shandong Taishan vs Yunnan Yukun?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shandong Taishan win the most likely single outcome at about 79%, with the full match-result split Shandong Taishan 79%, draw 14%, Yunnan Yukun 8%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Shandong Taishan), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shandong Taishan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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