Meizhou Hakka 1-0 Qingdao Jonoon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.07
Over 2.5
55%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.6
No
41%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.73
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.01
6+ Goals
10%
9.77
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.53
1/2
8%
26.0
1/X
5%
13.05
X/1
13%
5.66
X/2
17%
5.89
X/X
13%
5.21
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
25.5
2/2
11%
3.75
2/X
6%
13.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 9% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
+0.6pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.4pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.7pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Meizhou Hakka EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 40%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.38/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.19
+5% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +31%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
286 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 81%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
18.5 Crosses 13.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Meizhou Hakka
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.68 xG 1.73
49% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
222 Passes 233
69% Pass Accuracy 70%
22 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2025 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 1-2 HT 1-1 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
02.05.2025 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 3-1 HT 1-0 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİNSL
27.04.2025 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 1-1 HT 0-1 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİNSL
28.07.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 4-2 HT 2-1 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİNSL
21.07.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 3-3 HT 3-1 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİNSL
30.04.2024 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 1-1 HT 0-1 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Meizhou Hakka
1-0
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
1.05 xG 1.77
31% Ball Possession 69%
11 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
155 Passes 423
63% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 31
7 Crosses 35
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Meizhou Hakka vs Qingdao Jonoon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Meizhou Hakka squeezed past Qingdao Jonoon 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 24% / 37% — and on the day Meizhou Hakka made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Meizhou Hakka had 31% of the ball to Qingdao Jonoon's 69%, shots finished 11-17, expected goals 1.05 to 1.77 — the balance of chances actually favoured Qingdao Jonoon.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Qingdao Jonoon led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Meizhou Hakka and 2.33 for Qingdao Jonoon.

What was the final score of Meizhou Hakka vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Meizhou Hakka 1-0 Qingdao Jonoon in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Meizhou Hakka vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Meizhou Hakka win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Meizhou Hakka 39%, draw 24%, Qingdao Jonoon 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Meizhou Hakka) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Meizhou Hakka) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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ÇİNSL More China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League
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