Meizhou Hakka 1-2 Qingdao Jonoon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
41%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.55
No
41%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.88
2-3 Goals
44%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
2.87
6+ Goals
10%
8.82
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.66
1/2
5%
24.95
1/X
5%
12.25
X/1
12%
5.93
X/2
14%
5.81
X/X
10%
5.08
2/1 EV+ ✗
6%
25.5
2/2
21%
3.53
2/X
8%
12.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 6% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.2pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.1pp
41%
Away Win
37%
+3.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.7pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Meizhou Hakka EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 40%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.09/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/0.81
+21% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / +46%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
312 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 80%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
18.7 Crosses 16.9
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Meizhou Hakka
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.56 xG 1.64
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
256 Passes 226
71% Pass Accuracy 70%
23 Box Touches 19
23 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
02.05.2025 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 3-1 HT 1-0 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİNSL
27.04.2025 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 1-1 HT 0-1 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİNSL
28.07.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 4-2 HT 2-1 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİNSL
21.07.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 3-3 HT 3-1 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİNSL
30.04.2024 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 1-1 HT 0-1 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
10.04.2024 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 0-0 HT 0-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Meizhou Hakka
1-2
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
1.33 xG 1.13
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
178 Passes 269
69% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Meizhou Hakka vs Qingdao Jonoon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Qingdao Jonoon squeezed past Meizhou Hakka 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 22% / 41%) promised a tight game; Qingdao Jonoon found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Meizhou Hakka had 42% of the ball to Qingdao Jonoon's 58%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 1.33 to 1.13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Qingdao Jonoon led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Meizhou Hakka and 2.00 for Qingdao Jonoon.

What was the final score of Meizhou Hakka vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Meizhou Hakka 1-2 Qingdao Jonoon in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Meizhou Hakka vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Before kick-off our model rated an Qingdao Jonoon win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Meizhou Hakka 37%, draw 22%, Qingdao Jonoon 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Qingdao Jonoon), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Qingdao Jonoon) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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ÇİNSL More China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League
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